This month NHL.com has been doing a feature called 30-in-30 in which the site devotes one day to each of the 30 teams in the league for 30 days (hence the name 30-in-30). One of the articles written about each team shows the projected lineups for next season. According to NHL.com, the top two lines for the Devils opening night roster will be changing dramatically since Parise, a major goal scorer, left during free agency and Sykora, another top six forward, has yet to sign anywhere. That leaves at least two spots open on the first and second line. There seems to be a big hole in goal scoring for New Jersey with Parise leaving and Sykora still waiting on a contract. The main question is who will take their places on the top lines? Can the Devils keep up with the scoring power in the tough Atlantic Division without the 50+ goals Parise and Sykora provided?
After the jump I will compare the potential top six forwards for each team in the Atlantic Division based on the 30-in-30 featured lineups provided to see how the Devils measure up to their main competitors in the East*.
*Please note: the Islanders have not yet been featured for 30-in-30 so I am using an article from http://bleacherreport.com/
With the exception of the Penguins, each team in the Atlantic Division will be relying on some young players this season in hopes that they can step up and become scoring assets. The Devils, Islanders and Flyers each lost at least one top six forward to free agency which will open a spot for someone new. Let's take a look at the projected top six forwards for each Atlantic Division team next year by comparing their point totals from last season.
Remember, since they signed elsewhere these numbers do not include Parise or Sykora from the Devils, Parenteau from the Islanders, or Jagr from the Flyers - all major goal scorers for their respective teams last season.
Player |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists |
Points |
+/- |
77 |
37 |
46 |
83 |
-9 |
|
82 |
13 |
31 |
44 |
-6 |
|
82 |
17 |
27 |
44 |
7 |
|
81 |
26 |
52 |
78 |
-8 |
|
74 |
16 |
35 |
51 |
8 |
|
80 |
30 |
16 |
46 |
-8 |
|
Total |
139 |
207 |
346 |
-16 |
*Numbers for Zajac are based on the 2010-2011 season due to an injury in 2011-2012.
Player |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists |
Points |
+/- |
82 |
36 |
33 |
69 |
1 |
|
82 |
31 |
50 |
81 |
-6 |
|
55 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
-29 |
|
78 |
20 |
12 |
32 |
-18 |
|
82 |
17 |
30 |
47 |
-3 |
|
79 |
24 |
21 |
45 |
-15 |
|
Total |
129 |
146 |
275 |
-70 |
Compared to the Islanders, the Devils are set up quite well. New Jersey is ahead of New York in every category, including the Devils' weakest aspect, plus / minus.
Player |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists |
Points |
+/- |
64 |
14 |
24 |
38 |
21 |
|
82 |
25 |
41 |
66 |
-1 |
|
82 |
30 |
29 |
59 |
-19 |
|
82 |
41 |
35 |
76 |
15 |
|
82 |
17 |
34 |
51 |
14 |
|
76 |
29 |
25 |
54 |
-8 |
|
Total |
156 |
188 |
344 |
22 |
*Instead of Kreider, I used Gaborik who will not be available at the beginning of the season due to injury.
In looking at the other Atlantic team from New York, the Devils aren't ahead by nearly as much. While the Rangers lead in goals and plus / minus the Devils take the lead in both assists and total points.
Player |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists |
Points |
+/- |
82 |
37 |
30 |
67 |
19 |
|
78 |
28 |
65 |
93 |
6 |
|
78 |
18 |
31 |
49 |
11 |
|
82 |
28 |
21 |
49 |
-1 |
|
54 |
12 |
6 |
18 |
-7 |
|
70 |
16 |
33 |
49 |
5 |
|
Total |
139 |
186 |
325 |
33 |
The Devils and Flyers are very evenly stacked. Both top lines had 139 goals last year and the Devils lead in assists by only 2. The Flyers do take a major lead in plus / minus, though.
Player |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists |
Points |
+/- |
82 |
26 |
35 |
61 |
16 |
|
81 |
51 |
58 |
109 |
15 |
|
82 |
25 |
34 |
59 |
18 |
|
82 |
19 |
19 |
38 |
5 |
|
75 |
50 |
59 |
109 |
18 |
|
80 |
40 |
41 |
81 |
6 |
|
Total |
211 |
246 |
457 |
78 |
*Numbers for Crosby are based on the 2009-2010 season due to injury in both 2010-2011 and 2011-2012.
Based on numbers alone, the Penguins are the clear leaders in the Atlantic Division. They lead every team in every category - and by a lot.
In comparing each team, the Devils measure up to much of the Atlantic Division equally. They finished behind the Penguins and Rangers in goals scored (tied with the Flyers at 139), while coming just behind the Penguins in assists. In total points, the Devils came in second (346) behind only the dominant Penguins (457). It is worth noting that these numbers are without both Parise's 31 goals and Sykora's 21 goals from last season. The team was able to keep up with a majority of the competition without over 50 goals while the other teams did not face as major losses. For example, the Flyers lost only the 19 goals Jagr scored last season while the Rangers are gaining 30-goal scorer, Nash.
The statistic with the largest gap between the Devils and the rest of their Atlantic competition is their plus / minus total (minus - 16). While many people believe that this is a somewhat useless stat, it's still important to note that there is a 38-point difference between the Devils and the Rangers, the next best team. In order for the Devils to be more successful next season, that number will most likely have to venture into the positive, or at the very least get closer to even. Other than that, the Devils stayed even with the Flyers and Rangers for the season while the Penguins broke ahead by quite a bit.
Although the Penguins are ahead of the rest of the division in each category, the Devils are pretty evenly matched with their other main competition in the Flyers and Rangers. This isn't surprising seeing how close the entire division was heading into the playoffs last season. It is also worth noting that the Devils were second in the division for goals against with 205. The Rangers shot blocking style came ahead with 182 followed by the Devils, Penguins (218), Flyers (225), and Islanders (251).
While the Devils have kept up with the rest of the division in most aspects, they will most likely have to improve their goal production and will need more than two of their top six forwards to have a positive plus/minus to move ahead. With that said, the numbers above show they have the ability to stay tight with their division - often said to be the best in the league without the likes of Parise and Sykora.
Do the numbers above give you any more confidence in the Devils scoring abilities for next season? Who do you expect to step up and score more goals? Do you agree with the NHL.com projected lines? Sound off below!